Mainz 05 vs Paderborn – Preview
Bundesliga
📅 29/08/2026 16:30
Mainz 05 and Paderborn meet on 29/08/2026 in Bundesliga. The handicap line is -0.75 at odds of 1.68, and the totals line is 2.75.
The market's expected goals are 2.098 for Mainz 05 and 1.023 for Paderborn. Based on these numbers, Mainz 05 is the market favorite.
xG Home2.10
xG Away1.02
Hcp Home-0.75
Odds Home1.68
Totals Line2.75
Win Probability
Mainz 05 (1) 60.8%
Draw (X) 22.8%
Paderborn (2) 16.4%
FAIR ODDS
1: 1.64
X: 4.38
2: 6.11
Mainz 05
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals against | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xG | 2.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 |
| xGA | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| vs. Market | -1.08 | -1.08 | -1.08 |
| vs. Market Totals | -3.12 | -3.12 | -3.12 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
2W-2L-0P
-0.6 units
-15.7%
Totals:
3O-1U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Mainz 05
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Mainz 05
vs. market expectation
Paderborn
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals against | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| xG | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| xGA | 2.17 | 2.17 | 2.17 |
| vs. Market | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| vs. Market Totals | -1.27 | -1.27 | -1.27 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
2W-2L-0P
0.0 units
0.0%
Totals:
1O-3U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Paderborn
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Paderborn
vs. market expectation
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