Burnley vs Derby County – Preview
Championship
UPCOMING MATCH
📅 19/09/2026 17:00
Burnley and Derby County meet on 19/09/2026 in Championship. The handicap line is -0.5 at odds of 1.82, and the totals line is 2.5.
The market's expected goals are 1.685 for Burnley and 1.012 for Derby County. Based on these numbers, Burnley is the market favorite.
xG Home1.69
xG Away1.01
Hcp Home-0.5
Odds Home1.82
Odds Away2.05
Totals Line2.5
Over Odds1.85
Under Odds1.98
Win Probability
Burnley (1) 51.6%
Draw (X) 27.2%
Derby County (2) 21.2%
FAIR ODDS
1: 1.94
X: 3.68
2: 4.72
Burnley
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Goals against | 2.29 | 2.29 | 2.20 |
| xG | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.29 |
| xGA | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 |
| vs. Market | -0.97 | -0.97 | -1.03 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.45 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
0W-4L-3P
-3.5 units
-50.1%
Totals:
5O-2U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Burnley
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Burnley
vs. market expectation
Derby County
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.60 |
| Goals against | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.80 |
| xG | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| xGA | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.53 |
| vs. Market | -0.78 | -0.78 | -0.77 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.12 | 0.12 | -0.22 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
1W-6L-0P
-4.3 units
-61.9%
Totals:
5O-2U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Derby County
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Derby County
vs. market expectation
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