Derby County vs Birmingham City – Preview
Championship
📅 12/09/2026 14:30
Derby County and Birmingham City meet on 12/09/2026 in Championship. The handicap line is 0 at odds of 2.59, and the totals line is 2.5.
The market's expected goals are 1.064 for Derby County and 1.404 for Birmingham City. Based on these numbers, Birmingham City is the market favorite.
xG Home1.06
xG Away1.40
Hcp Home0
Odds Home2.59
Odds Away1.56
Totals Line2.5
Over Odds2.09
Under Odds1.81
Win Probability
Derby County (1) 26.9%
Draw (X) 30.0%
Birmingham City (2) 43.1%
FAIR ODDS
1: 3.72
X: 3.33
2: 2.32
Derby County
No historical data available.
💰 BETTING
HCP:
1W-5L-0P
-3.3 units
-55.5%
Totals:
4O-2U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Derby County
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Derby County
vs. market expectation
Birmingham City
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.60 |
| Goals against | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.60 |
| xG | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.31 |
| xGA | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| vs. Market | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.54 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
1W-2L-3P
-0.1 units
-2.1%
Totals:
4O-2U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Birmingham City
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Birmingham City
vs. market expectation
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