Derby County vs Cardiff City – Preview
Championship
📅 22/08/2026 17:00
Derby County and Cardiff City meet on 22/08/2026 in Championship. The handicap line is -0.75 at odds of 2.67, and the totals line is 2.5.
The market's expected goals are 1.576 for Derby County and 1.042 for Cardiff City. Based on these numbers, Derby County is the market favorite.
xG Home1.58
xG Away1.04
Hcp Home-0.75
Odds Home2.67
Totals Line2.5
Win Probability
Derby County (1) 48.2%
Draw (X) 28.3%
Cardiff City (2) 23.5%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.08
X: 3.53
2: 4.25
Derby County
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals against | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xG | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xGA | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| vs. Market | -0.78 | -0.78 | -0.78 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
1W-5L-0P
-3.3 units
-55.5%
Totals:
4O-2U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Derby County
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Derby County
vs. market expectation
Cardiff City
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.20 |
| Goals against | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.80 |
| xG | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.35 |
| xGA | 1.52 | 1.52 | 1.55 |
| vs. Market | -0.34 | -0.34 | -0.40 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.05 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
1W-2L-3P
-2.0 units
-33.0%
Totals:
3O-3U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Cardiff City
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Cardiff City
vs. market expectation
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