Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav – Preview
Bohemians 1905 come into this fixture as slight market favorites, backed by an expected-goals advantage of 1.55 to Mlada Boleslav's 1.29, though their recent conversion has been decidedly inconsistent. Over their last ten matches they've outperformed expectations by just 0.32 goals, and this season that underperformance widens to 0.13—suggesting the market has rightly pinned them as a team that creates chances but struggles to finish cleanly. Mlada Boleslav, by contrast, have been notably efficient, overperforming their expected-goals projections by 0.72 this season and across their last ten matches alike. Their handicap record this season stands at an impressive 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, yielding a return of 40.6% on invested units.
The handicap line sits at -0.5 with odds of 2.22 for Bohemians, reflecting the tight competitive gap between the sides. Bohemians' handicap betting record this season shows 4 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws for a modest 4.3% ROI, suggesting they've been a shade unreliable when asked to break down stubborn opponents. With a totals line set at 3 goals, the match is positioned as a relatively low-scoring affair—and given Mlada Boleslav's clinical recent form against Bohemians' conversion woes, the under looks potentially tempting despite the favorite's slight expected-goals edge.
Preview generated using our market-implied xG model and AI-assisted analysis.
Bohemians 1905
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Goals against | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xG | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| xGA | 1.47 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| vs. Market | 0.13 | 0.32 | -0.06 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.80 | -1.03 | -0.55 |
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Mlada Boleslav
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Goals against | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xG | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| xGA | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| vs. Market | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.35 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.07 | -0.07 | -0.60 |
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
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