Fredrikstad vs Bodo Glimt – Preview

Eliteserien UPCOMING MATCH
📅 04/09/2026 20:00

Bodo Glimt are significantly favoured in the expected-goals market at 2.53 against Fredrikstad's 0.94, though both sides have shown modest form departures from pre-match expectations. Bodo Glimt will again be without Patrick Berg, Fredrik Bjorkan and Jens Petter Hauge due to their involvement for Norway at the 2026 World Cup, while August Mikkelsen and Magnus Riisnaes are unavailable through injury. Fredrikstad are without Sigurd Kvile and Sondre Sorlokk due to injury. Despite their absences, Bodo Glimt remain clear title contenders and have accrued strong handicap-betting returns this season, posting a 26.7 per cent return on investment.

Fredrikstad enter this fixture having marginally outperformed expectations across their last ten matches, though they sit at zero over-performance for the full season. Their handicap bets have delivered a respectable 18.7 per cent return on investment, yet the xG gap and the calibre of Bodo Glimt's squad—even with World Cup absentees—suggests the hosts should control proceedings. The visiting side's defensive issues, compounded by the injuries they are managing, leave them vulnerable to Bodo Glimt's attacking threat on Friday evening.

Preview generated using our market-implied xG model and AI-assisted analysis.

Please note that odds and lines may have changed since this analysis was written — see the stats below for current figures.
xG Home0.94
xG Away2.53
Hcp Home1.5
Odds Home2.07
Odds Away1.80
Totals Line3.5
Over Odds2.02
Under Odds1.85
Win Probability
Fredrikstad (1) 10.9%
Draw (X) 18.2%
Bodo Glimt (2) 70.9%
FAIR ODDS
1: 9.19
X: 5.50
2: 1.41

Fredrikstad

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.221.201.40
Goals against1.561.101.00
xG1.311.341.32
xGA1.651.651.57
vs. Market 0.00 0.42 0.65
vs. Market Totals -0.19 -0.69 -0.49
💰 BETTING
HCP: 9W-6L-3P +3.4 units +18.7%
Totals: 9O-8U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Fredrikstad
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Fredrikstad
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Bodo Glimt

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals2.612.803.20
Goals against0.780.700.60
xG2.702.732.77
xGA1.040.990.97
vs. Market 0.18 0.36 0.80
vs. Market Totals -0.35 -0.22 0.05
💰 BETTING
HCP: 12W-5L-1P +4.8 units +26.7%
Totals: 8O-10U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Bodo Glimt
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Bodo Glimt
vs. market expectation
100-10xGMatch

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