Fredrikstad vs Bodo Glimt – Preview
Bodo Glimt are significantly favoured in the expected-goals market at 2.53 against Fredrikstad's 0.94, though both sides have shown modest form departures from pre-match expectations. Bodo Glimt will again be without Patrick Berg, Fredrik Bjorkan and Jens Petter Hauge due to their involvement for Norway at the 2026 World Cup, while August Mikkelsen and Magnus Riisnaes are unavailable through injury. Fredrikstad are without Sigurd Kvile and Sondre Sorlokk due to injury. Despite their absences, Bodo Glimt remain clear title contenders and have accrued strong handicap-betting returns this season, posting a 26.7 per cent return on investment.
Fredrikstad enter this fixture having marginally outperformed expectations across their last ten matches, though they sit at zero over-performance for the full season. Their handicap bets have delivered a respectable 18.7 per cent return on investment, yet the xG gap and the calibre of Bodo Glimt's squad—even with World Cup absentees—suggests the hosts should control proceedings. The visiting side's defensive issues, compounded by the injuries they are managing, leave them vulnerable to Bodo Glimt's attacking threat on Friday evening.
Preview generated using our market-implied xG model and AI-assisted analysis.
Fredrikstad
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals against | 1.56 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| xG | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| xGA | 1.65 | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| vs. Market | 0.00 | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.19 | -0.69 | -0.49 |
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Bodo Glimt
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.61 | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| Goals against | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| xG | 2.70 | 2.73 | 2.77 |
| xGA | 1.04 | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| vs. Market | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.80 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.35 | -0.22 | 0.05 |
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
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