Brighton vs Aston Villa – Preview
EPL
📅 23/08/2026 16:00
Brighton and Aston Villa meet on 23/08/2026 in EPL. The handicap line is -0.25 at odds of 1.79, and the totals line is 3.
The market's expected goals are 1.537 for Brighton and 1.199 for Aston Villa. Based on these numbers, Brighton is the market favorite.
xG Home1.54
xG Away1.20
Hcp Home-0.25
Odds Home1.79
Totals Line3
Win Probability
Brighton (1) 43.6%
Draw (X) 28.3%
Aston Villa (2) 28.1%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.30
X: 3.53
2: 3.55
Brighton
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals against | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xG | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.54 |
| xGA | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| vs. Market | 3.66 | 3.66 | 3.66 |
| vs. Market Totals | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.26 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
1W-2L-0P
-1.2 units
-40.2%
Totals:
2O-1U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Brighton
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Brighton
vs. market expectation
Aston Villa
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals against | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| xG | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| xGA | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.49 |
| vs. Market | -1.40 | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| vs. Market Totals | -1.05 | -1.05 | -1.05 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
0W-3L-0P
-3.0 units
-100.0%
Totals:
1O-2U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Aston Villa
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Aston Villa
vs. market expectation
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