Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen – Preview
Eredivisie
UPCOMING MATCH
📅 10/10/2026 22:00
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen meet on 10/10/2026 in Eredivisie. The handicap line is -2 at odds of 2.35, and the totals line is 4.
The market's expected goals are 2.741 for Ajax and 0.959 for NEC Nijmegen. Based on these numbers, Ajax is the market favorite.
xG Home2.74
xG Away0.96
Hcp Home-2
Odds Home2.35
Odds Away1.62
Totals Line4
Over Odds2.30
Under Odds1.63
Win Probability
Ajax (1) 73.9%
Draw (X) 16.4%
NEC Nijmegen (2) 9.7%
FAIR ODDS
1: 1.35
X: 6.09
2: 10.28
Ajax
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Goals against | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.40 |
| xG | 2.54 | 2.54 | 2.63 |
| xGA | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.19 |
| vs. Market | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.56 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.98 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
4W-3L-0P
-0.5 units
-7.2%
Totals:
6O-1U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Ajax
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Ajax
vs. market expectation
NEC Nijmegen
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.40 |
| Goals against | 1.86 | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| xG | 2.09 | 2.09 | 2.02 |
| xGA | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.48 |
| vs. Market | -0.85 | -0.85 | -1.14 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.10 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
2W-5L-0P
-2.3 units
-32.1%
Totals:
4O-3U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
NEC Nijmegen
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
NEC Nijmegen
vs. market expectation
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