Heerenveen vs Excelsior – Preview
Eredivisie
📅 16/10/2026 18:00 UTC
Heerenveen and Excelsior meet on 16/10/2026 in Eredivisie. The handicap line is -0.75 at odds of 1.77, and the totals line is 3.25.
The market's expected goals are 2.335 for Heerenveen and 1.209 for Excelsior. Based on these numbers, Heerenveen is the market favorite.
xG Home2.34
xG Away1.21
Hcp Home-0.75
Odds Home1.77
Totals Line3.25
Win Probability
Heerenveen (1) 61.4%
Draw (X) 21.1%
Excelsior (2) 17.5%
FAIR ODDS
1: 1.63
X: 4.74
2: 5.72
Heerenveen
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals against | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.00 |
| xG | 1.77 | 1.77 | 1.81 |
| xGA | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| vs. Market | 0.47 | 0.47 | 1.10 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.69 | -0.69 | -0.72 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
5W-3L-2P
+1.8 units
+17.6%
Totals:
6O-4U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Heerenveen
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Heerenveen
vs. market expectation
Excelsior
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals against | 1.90 | 1.90 | 2.80 |
| xG | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.37 |
| xGA | 1.94 | 1.94 | 1.94 |
| vs. Market | -0.14 | -0.14 | -1.43 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.22 | -0.22 | 0.29 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
5W-4L-1P
+0.1 units
+1.2%
Totals:
7O-3U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Excelsior
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Excelsior
vs. market expectation
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