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Real Madrid vs Villarreal – Preview

La Liga UPCOMING MATCH
📅 10/10/2026 22:00

Real Madrid and Villarreal meet on 10/10/2026 in La Liga. The handicap line is -2 at odds of 2.05, and the totals line is 3.5.

The market's expected goals are 2.894 for Real Madrid and 0.975 for Villarreal. Based on these numbers, Real Madrid is the market favorite.

xG Home2.89
xG Away0.98
Hcp Home-2
Odds Home2.05
Odds Away1.79
Totals Line3.5
Over Odds1.70
Under Odds2.16
Win Probability
Real Madrid (1) 75.8%
Draw (X) 15.2%
Villarreal (2) 9.0%
FAIR ODDS
1: 1.32
X: 6.57
2: 11.14

Real Madrid

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals2.832.833.00
Goals against1.001.001.00
xG2.772.772.91
xGA0.840.840.84
vs. Market -0.10 -0.10 -0.07
vs. Market Totals 0.23 0.23 0.25
💰 BETTING
HCP: 3W-1L-2P +0.4 units +6.6%
Totals: 5O-1U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Real Madrid
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Real Madrid
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Villarreal

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.671.671.60
Goals against1.831.831.80
xG1.641.641.64
xGA1.271.271.28
vs. Market -0.54 -0.54 -0.55
vs. Market Totals 0.59 0.59 0.48
💰 BETTING
HCP: 2W-4L-0P -2.1 units -34.7%
Totals: 5O-1U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Villarreal
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Villarreal
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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