Miami Marlins vs New York Mets – Preview
MLB
📅 10/09/2026 01:40
Miami Marlins and New York Mets meet on 10/09/2026 in MLB. The handicap line is -1.5 at odds of 2.63, and the totals line is 8.5.
The market's expected runs are 4.599 for Miami Marlins and 3.93 for New York Mets. Based on these numbers, Miami Marlins is the market favorite.
xR Home4.60
xR Away3.93
Hcp Home-1.5
Odds Home2.63
Totals Line8.5
Win Probability
Miami Marlins 60.1%
New York Mets 39.9%
FAIR ODDS
Home: 1.66
Away: 2.51
Miami Marlins
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Runs | 4.45 | 6.00 | 7.60 |
| Runs against | 4.40 | 6.80 | 8.00 |
| xR | 4.10 | 4.35 | 4.08 |
| xRA | 4.28 | 4.27 | 4.12 |
| vs. Market | 0.23 | -0.89 | -0.35 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.47 | 4.18 | 7.40 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
77W-72L-0P
+4.4 units
+3.0%
Totals:
74O-71U-4P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Miami Marlins
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Miami Marlins
vs. market expectation
New York Mets
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Runs | 4.35 | 7.80 | 9.40 |
| Runs against | 4.56 | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| xR | 4.20 | 3.93 | 3.67 |
| xRA | 4.11 | 4.16 | 4.45 |
| vs. Market | -0.30 | 2.22 | 3.98 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.60 | 5.51 | 7.48 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
69W-79L-0P
-10.6 units
-7.1%
Totals:
70O-68U-10P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
New York Mets
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
New York Mets
vs. market expectation
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