Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia – Preview
Serie A Bra
📅 21/09/2026 01:30
Athletico Paranaense and Bahia meet on 21/09/2026 in Serie A Bra. The handicap line is -0.25 at odds of 2.07, and the totals line is 2.5.
The market's expected goals are 1.512 for Athletico Paranaense and 1.142 for Bahia. Based on these numbers, Athletico Paranaense is the market favorite.
xG Home1.51
xG Away1.14
Hcp Home-0.25
Odds Home2.07
Totals Line2.5
Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense (1) 44.2%
Draw (X) 28.7%
Bahia (2) 27.1%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.26
X: 3.48
2: 3.69
Athletico Paranaense
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 | 1.90 | 2.40 |
| Goals against | 1.14 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| xG | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| xGA | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| vs. Market | 0.41 | 0.54 | -0.01 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.27 | 0.91 | 2.35 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
17W-6L-5P
+7.9 units
+28.2%
Totals:
14O-13U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Athletico Paranaense
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Athletico Paranaense
vs. market expectation
Bahia
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals against | 1.25 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xG | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.48 |
| xGA | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.27 |
| vs. Market | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.85 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
12W-11L-5P
+1.9 units
+6.9%
Totals:
15O-13U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Bahia
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Bahia
vs. market expectation
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