Athletico Paranaense vs Fluminense – Preview
Serie A Bra
📅 30/08/2026 17:00
Athletico Paranaense and Fluminense meet on 30/08/2026 in Serie A Bra. The handicap line is -0.25 at odds of 2.08, and the totals line is 2.25.
The market's expected goals are 1.322 for Athletico Paranaense and 0.983 for Fluminense. Based on these numbers, Athletico Paranaense is the market favorite.
xG Home1.32
xG Away0.98
Hcp Home-0.25
Odds Home2.08
Totals Line2.25
Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense (1) 42.7%
Draw (X) 31.2%
Fluminense (2) 26.1%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.34
X: 3.21
2: 3.83
Athletico Paranaense
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
| Goals against | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| xG | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| xGA | 1.21 | 1.18 | 1.21 |
| vs. Market | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.65 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
16W-6L-5P
+6.8 units
+25.3%
Totals:
13O-13U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Athletico Paranaense
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Athletico Paranaense
vs. market expectation
Fluminense
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 | 1.30 | 2.00 |
| Goals against | 1.28 | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| xG | 1.37 | 1.33 | 1.34 |
| xGA | 1.09 | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| vs. Market | -0.04 | 0.04 | 0.42 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.35 | -0.10 | 0.91 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
6W-9L-10P
-0.2 units
-0.7%
Totals:
13O-12U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Fluminense
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Fluminense
vs. market expectation
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