Atletico Mineiro vs Santos – Preview
Serie A Bra
📅 11/10/2026 19:00 UTC
Atletico Mineiro and Santos meet on 11/10/2026 in Serie A Bra. The handicap line is -0.25 at odds of 2.19, and the totals line is 2.5.
The market's expected goals are 1.584 for Atletico Mineiro and 1.226 for Santos. Based on these numbers, Atletico Mineiro is the market favorite.
xG Home1.58
xG Away1.23
Hcp Home-0.25
Odds Home2.19
Totals Line2.5
Win Probability
Atletico Mineiro (1) 44.2%
Draw (X) 27.8%
Santos (2) 28.0%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.26
X: 3.60
2: 3.57
Atletico Mineiro
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals against | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG | 1.27 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| xGA | 1.22 | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| vs. Market | 0.15 | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.13 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
13W-11L-7P
+1.5 units
+4.7%
Totals:
15O-16U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Atletico Mineiro
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Atletico Mineiro
vs. market expectation
Santos
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Goals against | 1.48 | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| xG | 1.25 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| xGA | 1.31 | 1.45 | 1.50 |
| vs. Market | 0.13 | 1.08 | 0.71 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.52 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
17W-14L-0P
+3.0 units
+9.8%
Totals:
21O-10U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Santos
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Santos
vs. market expectation
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