Bahia vs Mirassol – Preview
Serie A Bra
📅 11/10/2026 22:30 UTC
Bahia and Mirassol meet on 11/10/2026 in Serie A Bra. The handicap line is -0.75 at odds of 1.90, and the totals line is 2.75.
The market's expected goals are 1.906 for Bahia and 1.063 for Mirassol. Based on these numbers, Bahia is the market favorite.
xG Home1.91
xG Away1.06
Hcp Home-0.75
Odds Home1.90
Totals Line2.75
Win Probability
Bahia (1) 55.7%
Draw (X) 24.9%
Mirassol (2) 19.5%
FAIR ODDS
1: 1.80
X: 4.02
2: 5.14
Bahia
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals against | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| xG | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.48 |
| xGA | 1.26 | 1.32 | 1.41 |
| vs. Market | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.13 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.01 | -0.16 | -0.29 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
12W-12L-7P
+1.4 units
+4.4%
Totals:
16O-15U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Bahia
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Bahia
vs. market expectation
Mirassol
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals against | 1.42 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xG | 1.23 | 1.16 | 1.38 |
| xGA | 1.34 | 1.55 | 1.42 |
| vs. Market | -0.15 | 0.19 | 0.64 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.01 | -0.11 | -0.60 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
10W-14L-7P
-5.3 units
-17.1%
Totals:
14O-16U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Mirassol
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Mirassol
vs. market expectation
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