Palmeiras vs Corinthians – Preview
Serie A Bra
📅 11/10/2026 20:30 UTC
Palmeiras and Corinthians meet on 11/10/2026 in Serie A Bra. The handicap line is -0.75 at odds of 1.83, and the totals line is 2.25.
The market's expected goals are 1.714 for Palmeiras and 0.798 for Corinthians. Based on these numbers, Palmeiras is the market favorite.
xG Home1.71
xG Away0.80
Hcp Home-0.75
Odds Home1.83
Totals Line2.25
Win Probability
Palmeiras (1) 57.8%
Draw (X) 26.5%
Corinthians (2) 15.7%
FAIR ODDS
1: 1.73
X: 3.77
2: 6.35
Palmeiras
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals against | 0.74 | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| xG | 1.60 | 1.62 | 1.68 |
| xGA | 0.98 | 0.95 | 0.96 |
| vs. Market | 0.41 | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.05 | -0.17 | -1.04 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
14W-9L-9P
+2.6 units
+8.0%
Totals:
16O-16U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Palmeiras
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Palmeiras
vs. market expectation
Corinthians
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals against | 1.26 | 1.90 | 2.40 |
| xG | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.06 |
| xGA | 1.11 | 1.15 | 1.34 |
| vs. Market | -0.33 | -0.96 | -1.12 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.04 | 0.55 | 1.00 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
10W-15L-6P
-4.7 units
-15.1%
Totals:
14O-17U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Corinthians
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Corinthians
vs. market expectation
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