Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro – Preview
Serie A Bra
📅 06/09/2026 00:30
Sao Paulo and Atletico Mineiro meet on 06/09/2026 in Serie A Bra. The handicap line is -0.5 at odds of 2.01, and the totals line is 2.25.
The market's expected goals are 1.359 for Sao Paulo and 0.999 for Atletico Mineiro. Based on these numbers, Sao Paulo is the market favorite.
xG Home1.36
xG Away1.00
Hcp Home-0.5
Odds Home2.01
Totals Line2.25
Win Probability
Sao Paulo (1) 43.4%
Draw (X) 30.7%
Atletico Mineiro (2) 25.9%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.30
X: 3.26
2: 3.86
Sao Paulo
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals against | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xG | 1.22 | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| xGA | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.05 |
| vs. Market | 0.01 | -0.31 | -0.13 |
| vs. Market Totals | -0.03 | -0.28 | -0.23 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
11W-14L-0P
-3.2 units
-12.8%
Totals:
10O-14U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Sao Paulo
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Sao Paulo
vs. market expectation
Atletico Mineiro
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals against | 1.19 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| xG | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| xGA | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.12 |
| vs. Market | 0.17 | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.09 | -0.15 | -0.04 |
💰 BETTING
HCP:
10W-10L-6P
-0.5 units
-1.8%
Totals:
13O-13U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Atletico Mineiro
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
Atletico Mineiro
vs. market expectation
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