Vicenza vs Modena – Preview
Vicenza are without Frank Tsadjout and Giuseppe Cuomo due to injury, while Modena must manage without midfielder Alessandro Sersanti. The visitors come into this fixture in significantly better form than their hosts: Modena have outperformed market expectations by 0.45 expected goals across both the season and their last ten matches, and they hold a strong 5W-2L-1P handicap betting record this season with a +21.7% return on investment. By contrast, Vicenza sit 0.29 expected goals below market expectations for both the campaign and recent fixtures, with their handicap bets returning a -2.1% ROI on a 3W-3L-2P record. The market-implied expected goals show Modena as the favoured side at 1.67 to Vicenza's 1.22, reflecting their superior underlying performance.
This fixture carries a handicap line at 1.83 and a totals line of 3 expected goals. Despite Vicenza's home advantage, their struggles relative to market expectation and recent form disadvantage them here. Modena's consistent outperformance and superior betting record suggest they remain the side better equipped to exploit the gaps this match presents, and their injury situation is far lighter than Vicenza's with only one midfielder out compared to two attackers missing for the hosts.
Preview generated using our market-implied xG model and AI-assisted analysis.
Vicenza
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.20 |
| Goals against | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.60 |
| xG | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| xGA | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.44 |
| vs. Market | -0.29 | -0.29 | -0.18 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.13 |
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Modena
| Stat | Season | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Goals against | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xG | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.65 |
| xGA | 1.06 | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| vs. Market | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.14 |
| vs. Market Totals | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.57 |
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
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