Bundesliga

St. Pauli vs Mainz 05 – Preview

📅 03/05/2026 16:30

St. Pauli and Mainz 05 meet on 03/05/2026 in Bundesliga. The handicap line is 0 at odds of 2.10, and the totals line is 2.25.

The market's expected goals are 1.236 for St. Pauli and 1.337 for Mainz 05. Based on these numbers, Mainz 05 is the market favorite.

xG Home1.24
xG Away1.34
Hcp Home0
Odds Home2.10
Totals Line2.25
Win Probability
St. Pauli (1) 32.7%
Draw (X) 29.8%
Mainz 05 (2) 37.5%
FAIR ODDS
1: 3.06
X: 3.36
2: 2.67

St. Pauli

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals0.840.700.60
Goals against1.721.602.20
xG1.061.071.09
xGA1.531.461.53
vs. Market -0.41 -0.51 -1.16
vs. Market Totals -0.03 -0.22 0.18
💰 BETTING
HCP: 12W-16L-6P -4.6 units -13.5%
Totals: 18O-14U-2P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
St. Pauli
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
St. Pauli
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Mainz 05

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.291.701.80
Goals against1.561.401.80
xG1.361.391.45
xGA1.561.591.60
vs. Market -0.06 0.50 0.15
vs. Market Totals -0.07 0.12 0.56
💰 BETTING
HCP: 13W-14L-7P -2.3 units -6.7%
Totals: 14O-16U-4P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Mainz 05
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Mainz 05
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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