Championship

Bristol City vs Derby County – Preview

📅 30/01/2026 22:00

Bristol City and Derby County meet on 30/01/2026 in Championship. The handicap line is -0.5 at odds of 2.00, and the totals line is 2.25.

The market's expected goals are 1.505 for Bristol City and 0.964 for Derby County. Based on these numbers, Bristol City is the market favorite.

xG Home1.51
xG Away0.96
Hcp Home-0.5
Odds Home2.00
Totals Line2.25
Win Probability
Bristol City (1) 48.2%
Draw (X) 29.2%
Derby County (2) 22.6%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.07
X: 3.43
2: 4.42

Bristol City

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.331.200.40
Goals against1.201.301.80
xG1.381.421.57
xGA1.191.261.09
vs. Market -0.06 -0.27 -1.88
vs. Market Totals -0.04 -0.18 -0.45
💰 BETTING
HCP: 19W-18L-9P -0.2 units -0.4%
Totals: 21O-24U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Bristol City
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Bristol City
vs. market expectation
100-10xGMatch

Derby County

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.461.301.40
Goals against1.281.201.60
xG1.141.291.39
xGA1.261.381.35
vs. Market 0.30 0.19 -0.24
vs. Market Totals 0.34 -0.17 0.26
💰 BETTING
HCP: 22W-15L-9P +3.2 units +6.9%
Totals: 24O-17U-5P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Derby County
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Derby County
vs. market expectation
100-10xGMatch

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