Championship

Derby County vs Southampton – Preview

📅 04/10/2025 17:00

Derby County and Southampton meet on 04/10/2025 in Championship. The handicap line is 0.25 at odds of 2.05, and the totals line is 2.5.

The market's expected goals are 1.027 for Derby County and 1.366 for Southampton. Based on these numbers, Southampton is the market favorite.

xG Home1.03
xG Away1.37
Hcp Home0.25
Odds Home2.05
Totals Line2.5
Win Probability
Derby County (1) 26.5%
Draw (X) 30.5%
Southampton (2) 42.9%
FAIR ODDS
1: 3.77
X: 3.27
2: 2.33

Derby County

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.221.220.80
Goals against1.671.670.80
xG0.960.961.00
xGA1.271.271.23
vs. Market -0.14 -0.14 0.24
vs. Market Totals 0.66 0.66 -0.63
💰 BETTING
HCP: 22W-15L-9P +3.2 units +6.9%
Totals: 24O-17U-5P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Derby County
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Derby County
vs. market expectation
100-10xGMatch

Southampton

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.732.201.60
Goals against1.190.901.20
xG1.591.691.67
xGA1.181.141.25
vs. Market 0.13 0.74 -0.02
vs. Market Totals 0.14 0.27 -0.12
💰 BETTING
HCP: 21W-16L-11P +3.1 units +6.4%
Totals: 28O-19U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Southampton
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Southampton
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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