Championship

Derby County vs Watford – Preview

📅 22/11/2025 17:00

Derby County and Watford meet on 22/11/2025 in Championship. The handicap line is 0 at odds of 1.73, and the totals line is 2.25.

The market's expected goals are 1.247 for Derby County and 1.065 for Watford. Based on these numbers, Derby County is the market favorite.

xG Home1.25
xG Away1.07
Hcp Home0
Odds Home1.73
Totals Line2.25
Win Probability
Derby County (1) 38.7%
Draw (X) 31.6%
Watford (2) 29.7%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.58
X: 3.17
2: 3.36

Derby County

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.381.402.00
Goals against1.381.001.20
xG1.041.101.12
xGA1.261.241.28
vs. Market 0.22 0.55 0.96
vs. Market Totals 0.46 0.06 0.80
💰 BETTING
HCP: 22W-15L-9P +3.2 units +6.9%
Totals: 24O-17U-5P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Derby County
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Derby County
vs. market expectation
100-10xGMatch

Watford

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.150.700.20
Goals against1.412.303.20
xG1.291.271.12
xGA1.291.441.72
vs. Market -0.26 -1.43 -2.39
vs. Market Totals -0.01 0.30 0.56
💰 BETTING
HCP: 16W-22L-8P -7.7 units -16.6%
Totals: 22O-24U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Watford
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Watford
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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