Championship

Wrexham vs Derby County – Preview

📅 27/09/2025 14:30

Wrexham and Derby County meet on 27/09/2025 in Championship. The handicap line is 0.5 at odds of 1.81, and the totals line is 2.75.

The market's expected goals are 1.373 for Wrexham and 0.964 for Derby County. Based on these numbers, Wrexham is the market favorite.

xG Home1.37
xG Away0.96
Hcp Home0.5
Odds Home1.81
Totals Line2.75
Win Probability
Wrexham (1) 44.6%
Draw (X) 30.7%
Derby County (2) 24.7%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.24
X: 3.26
2: 4.05

Wrexham

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.291.291.00
Goals against1.861.861.00
xG0.940.940.92
xGA1.291.291.32
vs. Market -0.22 -0.22 0.40
vs. Market Totals 0.92 0.92 -0.24
💰 BETTING
HCP: 23W-14L-9P +7.6 units +16.5%
Totals: 23O-23U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Wrexham
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Wrexham
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Derby County

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.461.301.40
Goals against1.281.201.60
xG1.141.291.39
xGA1.261.381.35
vs. Market 0.30 0.19 -0.24
vs. Market Totals 0.34 -0.17 0.26
💰 BETTING
HCP: 22W-15L-9P +3.2 units +6.9%
Totals: 24O-17U-5P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Derby County
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Derby County
vs. market expectation
100-10xGMatch

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