Eliteserien

Kristiansund vs Start – Preview

📅 25/07/2026 17:00

Kristiansund have four players sidelined with injury: Dan Peter Ulvestad, Heine Gikling Bruseth, Herman Opsahl, and David Tufekcic. This represents a notable blow to their squad depth heading into Saturday's fixture. Despite these absences, Kristiansund have been one of the division's overperformers this season, exceeding market expectations by 0.18 goals per match and posting a 0.17 advantage over the last ten outings. The market has priced them at 1.61 expected goals, suggesting confidence in their attacking threat even with injuries limiting their options. Their handicap betting record this season stands at 6 wins, 5 losses, and 2 draws, a profit of +0.7 units representing 5.3% return on investment.

Start, by contrast, have significantly underperformed market expectations, sitting at minus 0.40 for the season and minus 0.39 over their last ten matches. With expected goals pegged at just 1.29, they represent a side struggling to create chances consistently. Their handicap record reflects this trend: 4 wins, 7 losses, and 3 draws, a substantial loss of 3.0 units and a minus 21.3% return on investment. The -0.5 handicap line at 2.21 odds and a 3-goal totals line set the market's expectation for a relatively low-scoring affair, yet Kristiansund's overall form suggests they should be favoured to overcome the injury obstacles and impose themselves on this match.

Preview generated using our market-implied xG model and AI-assisted analysis.

Please note that odds and lines may have changed since this analysis was written — see the stats below for current figures.
xG Home1.61
xG Away1.28
Hcp Home-0.25
Odds Home1.98
Totals Line2.75
Win Probability
Kristiansund (1) 43.6%
Draw (X) 27.4%
Start (2) 29.0%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.30
X: 3.64
2: 3.45

Kristiansund

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals0.860.700.60
Goals against1.641.602.00
xG1.181.231.27
xGA2.041.951.88
vs. Market 0.08 -0.18 -0.79
vs. Market Totals -0.73 -0.88 -0.55
💰 BETTING
HCP: 6W-6L-2P -0.3 units -2.2%
Totals: 4O-10U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Kristiansund
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Kristiansund
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Start

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.071.201.20
Goals against2.272.601.60
xG1.101.051.23
xGA2.022.141.81
vs. Market -0.28 -0.31 0.18
vs. Market Totals 0.22 0.61 -0.24
💰 BETTING
HCP: 5W-7L-3P -2.0 units -13.6%
Totals: 7O-7U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Start
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Start
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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