EPL

Aston Villa vs Burnley – Preview

📅 05/10/2025 16:00

Aston Villa and Burnley meet on 05/10/2025 in EPL. The handicap line is -1.5 at odds of 2.64, and the totals line is 2.75.

The market's expected goals are 1.783 for Aston Villa and 0.85 for Burnley. Based on these numbers, Aston Villa is the market favorite.

xG Home1.78
xG Away0.85
Hcp Home-1.5
Odds Home2.64
Totals Line2.75
Win Probability
Aston Villa (1) 58.1%
Draw (X) 25.8%
Burnley (2) 16.1%
FAIR ODDS
1: 1.72
X: 3.88
2: 6.19

Aston Villa

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals0.860.861.20
Goals against1.001.001.20
xG1.491.491.47
xGA1.121.121.04
vs. Market -0.52 -0.52 -0.43
vs. Market Totals -0.75 -0.75 -0.11
💰 BETTING
HCP: 16W-15L-7P +2.3 units +6.0%
Totals: 18O-19U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Aston Villa
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Aston Villa
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Burnley

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.000.600.80
Goals against1.971.901.60
xG0.880.890.85
xGA1.902.102.28
vs. Market 0.05 -0.09 0.64
vs. Market Totals 0.19 -0.49 -0.73
💰 BETTING
HCP: 17W-18L-3P +0.7 units +1.9%
Totals: 18O-19U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Burnley
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Burnley
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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