EPL

Burnley vs Aston Villa – Preview

📅 10/05/2026 16:00

Burnley and Aston Villa meet on 10/05/2026 in EPL. The handicap line is 0.75 at odds of 2.36, and the totals line is 2.75.

The market's expected goals are 0.894 for Burnley and 1.837 for Aston Villa. Based on these numbers, Aston Villa is the market favorite.

xG Home0.89
xG Away1.84
Hcp Home0.75
Odds Home2.36
Totals Line2.75
Win Probability
Burnley (1) 16.5%
Draw (X) 25.3%
Aston Villa (2) 58.2%
FAIR ODDS
1: 6.06
X: 3.96
2: 1.72

Burnley

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.030.900.80
Goals against2.032.202.40
xG0.880.870.83
xGA1.882.092.19
vs. Market 0.01 -0.08 -0.25
vs. Market Totals 0.30 0.13 0.18
💰 BETTING
HCP: 17W-18L-3P +0.7 units +1.9%
Totals: 18O-19U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Burnley
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Burnley
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Aston Villa

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.471.801.80
Goals against1.291.901.60
xG1.431.441.44
xGA1.331.431.55
vs. Market 0.09 -0.11 0.31
vs. Market Totals 0.00 0.83 0.41
💰 BETTING
HCP: 16W-15L-7P +2.3 units +6.0%
Totals: 18O-19U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Aston Villa
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Aston Villa
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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