Eredivisie

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen – Preview

📅 04/04/2026 22:00

Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen meet on 04/04/2026 in Eredivisie. The handicap line is 0.5 at odds of 1.97, and the totals line is 3.

The market's expected goals are 1.358 for Excelsior and 1.85 for NEC Nijmegen. Based on these numbers, NEC Nijmegen is the market favorite.

xG Home1.36
xG Away1.85
Hcp Home0.5
Odds Home1.97
Totals Line3
Win Probability
Excelsior (1) 26.9%
Draw (X) 25.3%
NEC Nijmegen (2) 47.7%
FAIR ODDS
1: 3.71
X: 3.95
2: 2.09

Excelsior

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.000.900.60
Goals against1.691.401.60
xG1.271.231.34
xGA1.841.771.75
vs. Market -0.11 0.04 -0.59
vs. Market Totals -0.42 -0.69 -0.89
💰 BETTING
HCP: 15W-12L-7P +2.2 units +6.4%
Totals: 13O-16U-5P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Excelsior
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Excelsior
vs. market expectation
100-10xGMatch

NEC Nijmegen

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals2.301.801.20
Goals against1.581.301.20
xG1.802.021.99
xGA1.511.501.55
vs. Market 0.44 -0.03 -0.44
vs. Market Totals 0.57 -0.42 -1.14
💰 BETTING
HCP: 15W-11L-7P +3.2 units +9.7%
Totals: 20O-11U-2P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
NEC Nijmegen
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
NEC Nijmegen
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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