Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar – Preview

📅 14/09/2025 15:30

Heracles Almelo and AZ Alkmaar meet on 14/09/2025 in Eredivisie. The handicap line is -1 at odds of 2.07, and the totals line is 2.75.

The market's expected goals are 1.031 for Heracles Almelo and 2.104 for AZ Alkmaar. Based on these numbers, AZ Alkmaar is the market favorite.

xG Home1.03
xG Away2.10
Hcp Home-1
Odds Home2.07
Totals Line2.75
Win Probability
Heracles Almelo (1) 16.5%
Draw (X) 22.8%
AZ Alkmaar (2) 60.8%
FAIR ODDS
1: 6.08
X: 4.39
2: 1.65

Heracles Almelo

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals2.252.252.25
Goals against1.001.001.00
xG2.142.142.14
xGA1.011.011.01
vs. Market 0.12 0.12 0.12
vs. Market Totals 0.10 0.10 0.10
💰 BETTING
HCP: 7W-18L-9P -11.5 units -33.9%
Totals: 17O-12U-5P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Heracles Almelo
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Heracles Almelo
vs. market expectation
100-10xGMatch

AZ Alkmaar

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.711.601.80
Goals against1.501.301.20
xG1.961.861.91
xGA1.311.511.50
vs. Market -0.45 -0.06 0.19
vs. Market Totals -0.07 -0.47 -0.41
💰 BETTING
HCP: 8W-17L-9P -8.3 units -24.5%
Totals: 17O-15U-2P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
AZ Alkmaar
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
AZ Alkmaar
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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