Liga Portugal

Alverca vs Nacional da Madeira – Preview

📅 07/12/2025 20:00

Alverca and Nacional da Madeira meet on 07/12/2025 in Liga Portugal. The handicap line is -0.25 at odds of 1.85, and the totals line is 2.25.

The market's expected goals are 1.344 for Alverca and 0.956 for Nacional da Madeira. Based on these numbers, Alverca is the market favorite.

xG Home1.34
xG Away0.96
Hcp Home-0.25
Odds Home1.85
Totals Line2.25
Win Probability
Alverca (1) 44.0%
Draw (X) 31.0%
Nacional da Madeira (2) 25.0%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.27
X: 3.22
2: 4.01

Alverca

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.151.200.80
Goals against1.461.201.40
xG0.991.011.07
xGA1.461.471.47
vs. Market 0.16 0.46 -0.20
vs. Market Totals 0.16 -0.08 -0.33
💰 BETTING
HCP: 16W-10L-8P +3.8 units +11.1%
Totals: 15O-17U-2P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Alverca
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Alverca
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Nacional da Madeira

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.090.901.20
Goals against1.320.900.80
xG1.121.331.49
xGA1.511.431.16
vs. Market 0.16 0.11 0.08
vs. Market Totals -0.22 -0.96 -0.65
💰 BETTING
HCP: 14W-11L-9P -0.9 units -2.5%
Totals: 12O-21U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Nacional da Madeira
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Nacional da Madeira
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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