Liga Portugal

Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira – Preview

📅 21/02/2026 17:30

Arouca and Nacional da Madeira meet on 21/02/2026 in Liga Portugal. The handicap line is 0 at odds of 1.59, and the totals line is 2.5.

The market's expected goals are 1.376 for Arouca and 1.188 for Nacional da Madeira. Based on these numbers, Arouca is the market favorite.

xG Home1.38
xG Away1.19
Hcp Home0
Odds Home1.59
Totals Line2.5
Win Probability
Arouca (1) 39.6%
Draw (X) 29.7%
Nacional da Madeira (2) 30.7%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.53
X: 3.36
2: 3.26

Arouca

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.351.702.40
Goals against2.131.201.40
xG1.041.071.15
xGA1.511.381.46
vs. Market -0.32 0.82 1.31
vs. Market Totals 0.92 0.45 1.20
💰 BETTING
HCP: 18W-13L-3P +3.4 units +10.1%
Totals: 22O-12U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Arouca
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Arouca
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Nacional da Madeira

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.090.901.20
Goals against1.320.900.80
xG1.121.331.49
xGA1.511.431.16
vs. Market 0.16 0.11 0.08
vs. Market Totals -0.22 -0.96 -0.65
💰 BETTING
HCP: 14W-11L-9P -0.9 units -2.5%
Totals: 12O-21U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Nacional da Madeira
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Nacional da Madeira
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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