Liga Portugal

Arouca vs Tondela – Preview

📅 16/05/2026 20:00

Arouca and Tondela meet on 16/05/2026 in Liga Portugal. The handicap line is -0.25 at odds of 2.67, and the totals line is 2.5.

The market's expected goals are 1.213 for Arouca and 1.474 for Tondela. Based on these numbers, Tondela is the market favorite.

xG Home1.21
xG Away1.47
Hcp Home-0.25
Odds Home2.67
Totals Line2.5
Win Probability
Arouca (1) 29.6%
Draw (X) 28.8%
Tondela (2) 41.6%
FAIR ODDS
1: 3.38
X: 3.47
2: 2.40

Arouca

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.381.502.00
Goals against1.881.201.20
xG1.041.101.19
xGA1.551.551.39
vs. Market 0.00 0.75 1.00
vs. Market Totals 0.67 0.05 0.62
💰 BETTING
HCP: 18W-13L-3P +3.4 units +10.1%
Totals: 22O-12U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Arouca
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Arouca
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Tondela

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals0.790.801.20
Goals against1.621.701.40
xG1.011.121.20
xGA1.521.511.57
vs. Market -0.31 -0.51 0.17
vs. Market Totals -0.12 -0.14 -0.17
💰 BETTING
HCP: 10W-17L-7P -8.1 units -23.7%
Totals: 15O-18U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Tondela
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Tondela
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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