MLS

CF Montreal vs Toronto FC – Preview

📅 17/07/2026 02:30

Both teams sit on 14 points following the World Cup break, with Montreal in 11th place in the Eastern Conference and Toronto two spots below in 13th. Montreal come in seeking to end a three-match winless run in MLS, while under interim manager Philippe Eullaffroy the team has lost just one of their last four fixtures. Their last three MLS victories came at home at Saputo Stadium, where they host this Canadian Classique. Prince Owusu leads the attack with nine goals in 14 appearances, including a hat-trick in their last MLS outing against DC. Montreal may be missing Josh Nteziryayo, Bode Hidalgo and Fabian Herbers, who are all recovering from lower-body injuries.

Toronto have not played since May 23 when they ended the first part of the season with a nine-game winless run in all competitions. The Reds have dropped points in their last eight MLS games and have lost five of their last six league games away from home, including three straight. However, Toronto have won their last two games against Montreal at Saputo Stadium. Toronto's injury concerns are significant: Deandre Kerr is questionable with a sore thigh, Markus Cimermancic has an adductor issue, Lazar Stefanovic has a sore foot and Djordje Mihailovic is questionable with a pelvic problem, while the club will likely be without Matheus Pereira and Benjamin Kuscevic with groin problems and Richie Laryea is dealing with a thigh strain.

Please note that odds and lines may have changed since this analysis was written — see the stats below for current figures.
xG Home1.71
xG Away1.30
Hcp Home-0.5
Odds Home2.28
Totals Line3
Win Probability
CF Montreal (1) 45.6%
Draw (X) 26.6%
Toronto FC (2) 27.8%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.19
X: 3.76
2: 3.60

CF Montreal

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.471.501.60
Goals against2.071.701.60
xG1.351.471.60
xGA1.691.511.45
vs. Market -0.26 -0.16 -0.15
vs. Market Totals 0.49 0.21 0.15
💰 BETTING
HCP: 5W-8L-4P -3.5 units -20.3%
Totals: 9O-8U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
CF Montreal
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
CF Montreal
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Toronto FC

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.351.100.60
Goals against1.821.801.00
xG1.291.251.13
xGA1.641.721.82
vs. Market -0.13 -0.23 0.29
vs. Market Totals 0.25 -0.07 -1.35
💰 BETTING
HCP: 6W-6L-5P -2.3 units -13.7%
Totals: 9O-6U-2P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Toronto FC
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Toronto FC
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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