NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets – Preview

📅 10/03/2026 01:42

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets meet on 10/03/2026 in NBA. The handicap line is 7.5 at odds of 1.58, and the totals line is 231.

The market's expected points are 119.514 for Oklahoma City Thunder and 112.477 for Denver Nuggets. Based on these numbers, Oklahoma City Thunder is the market favorite.

xP Home119.51
xP Away112.48
Hcp Home7.5
Odds Home1.58
Totals Line231
Win Probability
Oklahoma City Thunder 26.6%
Denver Nuggets 73.4%
FAIR ODDS
Home: 3.76
Away: 1.36

Oklahoma City Thunder

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Points120.26119.70117.00
Points against116.65118.30125.20
xP117.92117.57119.39
xPA114.64116.28117.21
vs. Market 0.33 0.11 -10.39
vs. Market Totals 4.34 4.15 5.60
💰 BETTING
HCP: 44W-51L-2P -13.9 units -14.3%
Totals: 55O-40U-2P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
100-10xPMatch
Oklahoma City Thunder
vs. market expectation
400-40xPMatch

Denver Nuggets

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Points121.08117.30105.80
Points against116.59114.80113.40
xP119.05119.37117.01
xPA114.64112.87111.40
vs. Market 0.08 -3.99 -13.21
vs. Market Totals 3.98 -0.14 -9.20
💰 BETTING
HCP: 45W-42L-1P +2.9 units +3.2%
Totals: 56O-32U
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Denver Nuggets
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
100-10xPMatch
Denver Nuggets
vs. market expectation
600-60xPMatch

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