Serie A

AC Milan vs Atalanta – Preview

📅 10/05/2026 21:45

AC Milan and Atalanta meet on 10/05/2026 in Serie A. The handicap line is -0.5 at odds of 2.29, and the totals line is 2.75.

The market's expected goals are 1.526 for AC Milan and 1.193 for Atalanta. Based on these numbers, AC Milan is the market favorite.

xG Home1.53
xG Away1.19
Hcp Home-0.5
Odds Home2.29
Totals Line2.75
Win Probability
AC Milan (1) 43.4%
Draw (X) 28.4%
Atalanta (2) 28.2%
FAIR ODDS
1: 2.30
X: 3.52
2: 3.55

AC Milan

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.390.900.60
Goals against0.891.201.60
xG1.601.581.65
xGA0.930.970.98
vs. Market -0.17 -0.91 -1.68
vs. Market Totals -0.25 -0.45 -0.43
💰 BETTING
HCP: 13W-15L-10P -3.6 units -9.5%
Totals: 16O-21U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
AC Milan
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
AC Milan
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

Atalanta

StatSeasonLast 10Last 5
Goals1.341.201.20
Goals against0.951.001.40
xG1.571.531.64
xGA1.071.231.17
vs. Market -0.11 -0.11 -0.68
vs. Market Totals -0.36 -0.56 -0.21
💰 BETTING
HCP: 14W-18L-6P -6.3 units -16.6%
Totals: 13O-24U-1P
HCP: Result of betting the handicap line for this team in every match this season.
Totals: Over/under split across all of this team's matches this season.
Atalanta
10-game rolling average vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch
Atalanta
vs. market expectation
50-5xGMatch

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